Wednesday, February 3, 2016

Trump - Is He Worth Voting For? Things to Consider



As a Rand Paul supporter, I am disappointed but not shocked that Republican primary voters rejected Rand and liberty. Liberty has always been a tough, tough sell at the ballot box. However, the candidate that is looming large in the Republican race for the POTUS nomination is Donald Trump.

I do not view Trump as a liberty candidate.  However, I do view him as pragmatic, practical and supremely in touch with issues that affect all ordinary Americans.  Trump the billionaire NYC real estate mogul has managed to captivate Republican primary voters and even Democrat voters.

What's to like about Trump?

2nd Amendment Trump is fairly solid on the 2nd Amendment and his position on the issue from his website is here.

Foreign Policy Trump is not a neocon; in fact the neocons hate his guts. He's on record opposing the Iraq War and way back when Bush started the damn war. Trump opposed the Iraq War when it was popular and long before the horrors of Abu Ghraib emerged.

Not only is Trump on record opposing the Iraq War, during a GOP debate he blasted the Iraq War, its cost and the horrid damage to the Middle East:
"We've spent $4 trillion trying to topple various people that, frankly, if they were there and if we could have spent that $4 trillion in the United States to fix our roads, our bridges, and all of the other problems — our airports and all the other problems we have — we would have been a lot better off, I can tell you that right now.

We have done a tremendous disservice not only to the Middle East — we've done a tremendous disservice to humanity. The people that have been killed, the people that have been wiped away — and for what? It's not like we had victory. It's a mess. The Middle East is totally destabilized, a total and complete mess. I wish we had the 4 trillion dollars or 5 trillion dollars. I wish it were spent right here in the United States on schools, hospitals, roads, airports, and everything else that are all falling apart!"
For a Republican candidate to make such an anti-war statement during a Republican primary debate is no less than astounding but what is even more astounding is that his remark didn't hurt him in the least and he continued to rise in the polls despite the consternation of the neocons. I remember when Ron Paul got dissed in a South Carolina debate for suggesting that America follow the Golden Rule on foreign policy. He got booed. But the times they are a changing! Even Republican voters seem to have finally lost their appetite for never ending wars. Trump doesn't suffer in the polls when he attacks US foreign policy and on GOP sacred turf no less.

Trade Agreements America's nasty job destroying trade agreements that began with NAFTA and are now ballooning have decimated US manufacturing and those good paying middle class jobs. Trump is on record vociferously opposing these trade deals. Trump said "I am all for free trade, but it's got to be fair" and the "TPP is a horrible deal; no one has read its 5,600 pages".

On NAFTA, Trump says "I think NAFTA has been a disaster. I think our current deals are a disaster. I'm a free trader. The problem with free trade is, you need smart people representing you."

Trump has blasted the loss of US manufacturing jobs.  He's also blasted immigration.

Immigration: Trump has raised the issue of immigration. America keeps getting flooded with low wage immigrants and many of them are taking jobs from Americans who are actually getting fired and replaced with cheap labor. Moreover, many of those comprising the 'cheap labor' workers are in fact so impoverished by low wages that they are entitlement dependent. I blogged about the immigration issue in depth - Let's Talk IMMIGRATION.

With 92 million Americans out of the workforce, here, I absolutely believe that we should make it a top priority to get Americans back to work.  Besides, many of those Americans are weighing down the welfare system.  Americans need jobs and if that translates to a temporary halt on immigration, then so be it - it makes sense.

There are many situations like the now well publicized Disney case where Disney fired American workers and forced them to train their foreign replacements.  Even the open border immigrant loving NYT penned a piece on this absurdity.

Pink Slips at Disney. But First, Training Foreign Replacements

It's as if war has been declared on American workers who are being cast aside as irrelevant and expendable scum.  This is simply wrong.

While research info. on Trump, I learned that his Atlantic City casino labor unions and workers spoke highly of him.  Trump might be a ruthless businessman but when it came to his workers, he earned their praise.
By the end of 1991, Trump’s three casinos employed more than 12,700 people, nearly one-third of the entire Atlantic City casino workforce.

And Trump, gushed Theresa Volpe, 57, who served drinks at Trump Plaza for 26 years — including to the man himself — “was a very good boss.”

“Employee picnics, employee parties. I mean, he took care of us.”

“He was very receptive to our union and our benefits and pension plan,” said Volpe, who’s been cobbling together a living as a bartender and supermarket cashier since Trump Plaza closed in September.

Bob McDevitt, longtime president of Local 54 of Unite Here, which represents casino workers, declined to comment for this story. But in the past, the labor leader, who spent years as a Taj bartender, characterized Trump as a union-friendly, reliably cooperative partner in negotiations over labor contracts.

In 2004, when 10,000 casino workers went on strike at seven Atlantic City casinos for more than a month, the Trump casinos weren’t among them.

“He didn’t nickel or dime us,” Volpe said. Read the rest here.
Vaccines I personally oppose forced vaccinations and do share Trump's concerns over their safety. Trump has stated that vaccines cause Autism, here, and there is ample evidence to support his assertion. Trump obviously isn't owned by Big Pharm who peddles poison.

GMO It's not clear where Trump stands on the issue of Monsanto, GMO and food labeling but he tweeted back in October a statement that fired up the food labeling, anti-GMO and anti-Monsanto folks with "#BenCarson is now leading in #polls in #Iowa. Too much #Monsanto in the #corn creates issues in the brain?". The tweet was perceived as so outrageous and insulting to Iowans that Trump withdrew it and blamed it on an intern. Since that tweet, Trump has opted to avoid the issue, something he does on issues that can backfire and hurt him.  In any event, Trump's sarcastic remark about GMO food indicates that he's aware of the issue and may not be a fan of GMO.

Common Core Trump has consistently blasted Common Core.

Marijuana Legalization Trump 100% supports medical marijuana and believes that the states should have the right to make the decisions on recreational marijuana.  That's a position that will make a ton of voters happy!

Trump Slams US Public Schools, Pledges To Kill Common Core 

BOTTOM LINE: Voting for Trump carries risk. However, voting for the 'same old, same old' creeps who are proven to be wholly owned subsidiaries of corporatists, fascists, defense contractors, banksters, corporate welfare queens etc. is an even bigger risk because America's ship is sinking FAST, America's middle class is vanishing and the poor are getting poorer while the rich are getting richer. Obama was supposed to be the Man of Change in 2008 but he turned out to be a big fail.

It's not likely that Trump will perform miracles but it's entirely possible that Trump would work to defend the 2nd amendment, end the wars, reign in the neocons, change foreign policy, nullify job destroying trade agreements, restore US manufacturing and improve the economy for the working class. That's a risk many believe is worth taking at the ballot box because if voters fail to act to change course, America's deterioration will only accelerate.

A McClatchy article summarized the mood of the American people in a piece titled America 2016: We’re mad as hell and not going to take it anymore 

MARSHALLTOWN, IOWA Craig Ziemke has voted for Democrats all his life, including twice for President Barack Obama. Not this year.

“The whole country is going to hell,” the 66-year-old retired factory worker said, standing against the bleachers at a high school gymnasium while waiting for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump to arrive. Ziemke’s fury is deep: Roads and bridges in the U.S. are falling apart, jobs are scarce and the U.S. border is wide open, he says.

“We’re letting all these people into the country. No one even knows who the hell they are,” he said. “We don’t need any more Arabs. The United States, anymore, is just a dumping ground for everyone.”

Ziemke plans to caucus for a Republican on Monday – and likely for Trump, “the only one with brains,” he said..... In interviews with dozens of voters in both parties, the driving motivation across the state is anger and uprising. They’re fed up with lawmakers in Washington, who seem to work two or three days a week and get little done aside from raising money to stay in office. They’re mad about stagnant wages, companies sending jobs overseas and terrorists sneaking in across the border.

And there you have it - the voice of the people and how they intend to use the power of their vote to effect change. It's 2008 all over again except that the new man of HOPE and CHANGE is now Donald Trump. Call it a wing and a prayer vote that Trump won't turn out to be another Obama or Bush. I understand the desperation of the poor and middle class - they've been royally shafted by a system criminally stacked against them so firing somebody is all that they've got left.

Folks are taking their cues from Trump himself when it comes to the Republican and Democrat party elites.





A vote for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and other insufferable traitors is definitely a vote for more wars, more job destroying trade agreements and more of the same.  Clinton and Sanders will definitely make it a top priority to disarm Americans; both endorse the wars. Sanders voted to fund every neocon request for more war money.

When put into the proper perspective, Trump looks awfully good to me based on the issues that are dear to me and I think that Trump is worth considering. 

Where Rand Paul Went Wrong



Rand Paul was my candidate as was his father.  He's suspended his campaign and probably because of poor poll numbers, a 4.5% finish in IA and a lack of money.  It's time to evaluate his campaign. Why did Ron Paul garner 20% in Iowa in 2012 while Rand only got a measly 4.5%?  It's a valid question.

Well, the answers are somewhat glaring, predictable and even unpredictable.  Ron Paul was anchored into liberty and the constitution like a mountain of steel beams and he NEVER did waiver the slightest, not in over 20 years of public life.  I'm not even implying that Rand did in fact waiver but Rand got somewhat mushy, squishy and wobbly.  He feared the Republican machine and because of this fear he pathetically tried to romance the Republican officials and the elites by playing nice.  If there is anything I learned from Ron Paul and even Donald Trump it's that you never play nice with these folks, you get in their faces and let it rip.  Granted, Ron's style was a whole lot more gentlemanly than Trump's more vulgar style but both men aren't noted for capitulation and they are both notorious for standing their ground.

Right out of the campaign box, Rand started harping on conservatism, especially accusations that Trump wasn't a conservative.  The term 'conservative' is meaningless and has been since the days of Barry Goldwater.  Heck, even John Boehner, Paul Ryan, Jeb Bush, George W. Bush, John McCain, Lindsay Graham et al view themselves as conservatives.  They campaign as conservatives and get elected as conservatives.  Consequently, we can only assume that conservatives are big spenders, warmongers, bankster bailout lovers, NSA lovers, Police State USA lovers, fascists, corporatists, crony capitalists and well, you get the picture.  Accordingly, Rand Paul attacking Trump as not sufficiently 'conservative' is utterly absurd and bizarre. The strategy clearly failed because it was so laughable.

I suspect that Rand listened to his GOP advisors or just made a critical error in judgment. The'conservative' label went out with 8 track and the floppy disk. Moreover, attacking a man as not sufficiently conservative was indeed foolish especially since Trump was steadily rising in the polls and trumping everybody in the race, including Rand Paul.  Rand's attacks on Trump were pathetic especially since Trump was smashing records and winning voters by selectively pouncing on issues near and dear to both Republican and Democrat voters.

Immigration and the economy - the economy sucks, domestic manufacturing has been outsourced and offshored, American workers are getting fired and Americans are being forced to train their foreign replacements.  Rand didn't seem to care about these issues.  Trump did.

The US Economy - The Mother of All Hot Button 2016 Election Issues and Why #Trump is Winning.

Rand just couldn't connect with average workers, workers who are suffering from job losses and feeling profoundly threatened.  Trump connected with them in a big emotional way. Trump may not actually feel their pain but he understands it.  Trump went further and tied economic issues facing American workers to nasty job destroying trade agreements like NAFTA, Obamatrade, the TPP and immigration policies

Rand backed off from the big issues that Trump rode to being top in the polls.

However, at the end of the day, Rand's campaign was stodgy, timid and boring, unlike the campaigns of his dad and definitely unlike the highly energetic and passionate campaign of Trump.

Timing is also another factor.  It's a weird election season, unlike anything I've seen in my lifetime. Nobody predicted the rise of Trump and Sanders, especially the media that scorned and mocked both of them. The RNC and DNC machines along with their propaganda media were totally unprepared for the raw and absolute anger of the American people at the political class that robbed them of  economic opportunity and good paying jobs.  As the anger percolated, Trump seized upon it.

Rand pretty much ran a 'politics as usual' campaign although he did have a few stellar moments during the debates, debates where his speaking time was deliberately restricted to the practically non-existent.

Rand missed all the cues, he wasn't listening to the people, he wasn't learning from Trump and he should have.

Actually, I believe that Rand and Trump have more in common than the rest of the GOP heap. It's a pity there was so much animosity between them because they could have helped each other for the good of the country and the American people.  Together they could have worked to pave the road for a more free and prosperous middle class.  Both are smart, both understand the issues, both think outside the box and both truly seek to Make America Great Again.

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Donald Trump: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly



For the record, I Stand With Rand and will vote for him in the primary.  However, on some level I'm not the least bit perplexed by the meteoric rise of Donald Trump. The fact that a boisterous and even arrogant billionaire is romancing and captivating the hearts and minds ordinary working stiffs who are far removed from his glamorous world of power and privilege may be difficult to fathom but Trump and his 'in your face' style is making it happen.

Michael Scheuer, a foreign policy advisor to the Ron Paul campaign and a former CIA intelligence officer who penned the piece for Time Magazine in the above photo cover, wrote "If you want to understand what is happening in the country right now, to get at its shifting id, its calcifying frustrations, its guttural demand for change,...you need only listen to that message of disgust, for the political system, its falsehoods and failures, which has taken Trump to the top of the Republican polls."

Tucker Carlson, a libertarian leaning conservative bluntly blamed the Republican Party and its elites for the rise of Trump in a scathing piece titled Donald Trump Is Shocking, Vulgar and RightAnd, my dear fellow Republicans, he's all your fault

He Exists Because You Failed....

Conservative voters are being scolded for supporting a candidate they consider conservative because it would be bad for conservatism? And by the way, the people doing the scolding? They’re the ones who’ve been advocating for open borders, and nation-building in countries whose populations hate us, and trade deals that eliminated jobs while enriching their donors, all while implicitly mocking the base for its worries about abortion and gay marriage and the pace of demographic change. Now they’re telling their voters to shut up and obey, and if they don’t, they’re liberal. It turns out the GOP wasn’t simply out of touch with its voters; the party had no idea who its voters were or what they believed. For decades, party leaders and intellectuals imagined that most Republicans were broadly libertarian on economics and basically neoconservative on foreign policy. That may sound absurd now, after Trump has attacked nearly the entire Republican catechism (he savaged the Iraq War and hedge fund managers in the same debate) and been greatly rewarded for it, but that was the assumption the GOP brain trust operated under....

If you live in an affluent ZIP code, it’s hard to see a downside to mass low-wage immigration. Your kids don’t go to public school. You don’t take the bus or use the emergency room for health care. No immigrant is competing for your job. (The day Hondurans start getting hired as green energy lobbyists is the day my neighbors become nativists.) Plus, you get cheap servants, and get to feel welcoming and virtuous while paying them less per hour than your kids make at a summer job on Nantucket.

THE GOOD

Foreign Policy

Trump is not a neocon; in fact the neocons hate his guts.  He's on record opposing the Iraq War and way back when Bush started the damn war.  Trump opposed the Iraq War when it was popular and long before the horrors of Abu Ghraib emerged.  The US government was running a brutal torture operation in Iraq.





Not only is Trump on record opposing the Iraq War, during a GOP debate he blasted the Iraq War, its cost and the horrid damage to the Middle East: 
"We've spent $4 trillion trying to topple various people that, frankly, if they were there and if we could have spent that $4 trillion in the United States to fix our roads, our bridges, and all of the other problems — our airports and all the other problems we have — we would have been a lot better off, I can tell you that right now.

We have done a tremendous disservice not only to the Middle East — we've done a tremendous disservice to humanity. The people that have been killed, the people that have been wiped away — and for what? It's not like we had victory. It's a mess. The Middle East is totally destabilized, a total and complete mess. I wish we had the 4 trillion dollars or 5 trillion dollars. I wish it were spent right here in the United States on schools, hospitals, roads, airports, and everything else that are all falling apart!"

For a Republican candidate to make such an anti-war statement during a Republican primary debate is no less than astounding but what is even more astounding is that his remark didn't hurt him in the least and he continued to rise in the polls despite the consternation of the neocons.  I remember when Ron Paul got dissed in a South Carolina debate for suggesting that America follow the Golden Rule on foreign policy.  He got booed.  But the times they are a changing!  Even Republican voters seem to have finally lost their appetite for never ending wars.  Trump doesn't suffer in the polls when he attacks US foreign policy and on GOP sacred turf no less.

Trump has been vocal on other issues.

TPP and Trade Agreements America's nasty job destroying trade agreements that began with NAFTA and are now ballooning have decimated US manufacturing and those good paying middle class jobs. Trump is on record vociferously opposing these trade deals.  Trump said "I am all for free trade, but it's got to be fair" and the "TPP is a horrible deal; no one has read its 5,600 pages".  For more on Trump and the trade agreements, see Donald Trump on Free Trade.

Immigration: Trump has raised the issue of immigration.  America keeps getting flooded with low wage immigrants and many of them are taking jobs from Americans who are actually getting fired and replaced with cheap labor.  Moreover, many of those comprising the 'cheap labor' are in fact so impoverished by low wages that they are entitlement dependent.  I blogged about the immigration issue in depth - Let's Talk IMMIGRATION.

Vaccines I personally oppose forced vaccinations and do share Trump's concerns over their safety. Trump has stated that vaccines cause Autism, here, and there is ample evidence to support his assertion. Trump obviously isn't owned by Big Pharm who peddles poison.

GMO It's not clear where Trump stands on the issue of Monsanto, GMO and food labeling but he tweeted back in October a statement that fired up the food labeling, anti-GMO and anti-Monsanto folks with  "#BenCarson is now leading in #polls in #Iowa.  Too much #Monsanto in the #corn creates issues in the brain?".  The tweet was perceived as so outrageous and insulting to Iowans that Trump withdrew it and blamed it on an intern.  Since that tweet,  Trump has opted to avoid the issue, something he does on issues that can backfire and hurt him.

Populism
Trump has the uncanny ability to market himself on a platform of a rising populism as if he's screaming to the folks "Hell yeah, I'm one of you and I'm on your side".  In fact, it's fair to say that Trump has definitely brought populism back into politics after a long absence.  Voters are so damn angry at their party elites that their political masters within the RNC and DNC machines are rapidly losing power, control and influence.  That's a good thing.

THE BAD 

Nobody can really predict what Trump will or will not do. He's kind of a seat of the pants autocratic entrepreneur with a big ego and he relies on his gut instincts.  That personality trait is excellent when it comes to attacking his POTUS competition and dissing the GOP establishment but it really doesn't offer much in the way of what Trump would actually do if elected president.  However, America, it's economy and all its moving parts are hugely complex as well as deeply entrenched within systematic corruption and cronyism.

What is clearly evident is that folks are flocking to Trump because he isn't a traditional politician, he's never held elected office, he shoots from the hip and he's basically campaigning on "Trust me, I will make America great again".  That's quite a promise!


THE UGLY 

Trump sucks on civil liberties and clearly endorses Police State USA, the NSA, the National Security State and obscene 4th amendment shredding surveillance.  Unlike Rand Paul who considers civil liberties one of the core issues of his campaign, Trump just trumps civil liberties as an issue by ignoring it.

It's highly unlikely that there will be smaller government or less government spending under Trump.  He's promised a single payer healthcare system (no details) and he's also promised more defense spending and appears to want to build the military industrial complex into a bigger nightmare that it already is because Trump claims that a big bad military will keep the bad guys away through the power of intimidation.

BOTTOM LINE: Voting for Trump carries risk.  However, voting for the 'same old, same old' creeps who are proven to be wholly owned subsidiaries of corporatists, fascists, defense contractors and banksters, corporate welfare queens etc. is an even bigger risk because America's ship is sinking FAST, America's middle class is vanishing and the poor are getting poorer while the rich are getting richer. Obama was supposed to be the Man of Change in 2008 but he turned out to be a big fail.

It's not likely that Trump will perform miracles but it's entirely possible that Trump would work to end the wars, reign in the neocons, change foreign policy, nullify job destroying trade agreements, restore US manufacturing and improve the economy for the working class. That's a risk many believe is worth taking at the ballot box because if voters fail to act to change course, America's deterioration will only accelerate.

A McClatchy article summarized the mood of the American people in a piece titled America 2016: We’re mad as hell and not going to take it anymore

MARSHALLTOWN, IOWA Craig Ziemke has voted for Democrats all his life, including twice for President Barack Obama. Not this year. 
“The whole country is going to hell,” the 66-year-old retired factory worker said, standing against the bleachers at a high school gymnasium while waiting for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump to arrive. Ziemke’s fury is deep: Roads and bridges in the U.S. are falling apart, jobs are scarce and the U.S. border is wide open, he says. 
 “We’re letting all these people into the country. No one even knows who the hell they are,” he said. “We don’t need any more Arabs. The United States, anymore, is just a dumping ground for everyone.” 
Ziemke plans to caucus for a Republican on Monday – and likely for Trump, “the only one with brains,” he said..... 
In interviews with dozens of voters in both parties, the driving motivation across the state is anger and uprising. They’re fed up with lawmakers in Washington, who seem to work two or three days a week and get little done aside from raising money to stay in office. They’re mad about stagnant wages, companies sending jobs overseas and terrorists sneaking in across the border.
And there you have it - the voice of the people and how they intend to use the power of their vote to effect change.  It's 2008 all over again except that the new man of HOPE and CHANGE is now Donald Trump.  Call it a wing and a prayer vote that Trump won't turn out to be another Obama or Bush.  I understand the desperation of the poor and middle class - they've been royally shafted by a system criminally stacked against them so firing somebody is all that they've got left.

Folks are taking their cues from Trump himself when it comes to the Republican and Democrat party elites.



Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Let's Talk IMMIGRATION!




As a hot potato political issue, immigration ranks near the top of contentious issues. Immigration could even be the defining issue of the 2016 elections. Some folks just really, really hate all immigrants and demand that all of them be deported. I'm definitely not in that camp and I absolutely do subscribe to the view that nations benefit from immigration. Healthy immigration and sane immigration policies are a win-win for everybody.

Heck, America is a nation that was built by industrious and hardworking immigrants. I know how hard immigrants work because I've witnessed it up close and personal. Most immigrants are here because they want to work, they do work and Americans seems to have gotten lazy about working.

In my opinion, the immigrants who are here that are productively working should be legalized, given green cards and have the opportunity to apply for citizenship. They earned it and they deserve it. However, I draw the line at entitlement dependent immigrants. The immigrants who built America were not provided with food stamps, Medicaid cards and other entitlements. They asked for NOTHING, they GOT NOTHING and they toiled for long hours at nasty jobs. There are indeed immigrants in America who mooch of the taxpayers and the welfare system.

This is where the issues gets very ugly.  In the absence of truly free markets including labor markets, the corporatist-statist system is comprised of big companies who fill campaign coffers (bribe congress critters) in exchange for hoards of cheap foreign labor. These foreign labor pools are paid wages so low that most of them qualify for welfare.  Effectively, the current immigration system is a taxpayer subsidy to business because it's the taxpayers who are picking up the social costs of folks who literally earn slave wages.

Entitlement dependent immigrants are not the kind of immigrants that America needs or should want. There has been explosion in what has been termed the minimum wage economy. America has off-shored so much domestic manufacturing that once was the bedrock of a thriving middle class with decent wages that it's going to be a nightmare to rebuild the middle class and lift the poor out of poverty.

The problem is so bad that some US companies are firing American workers and replacing them with cheap foreign labor.  Disney fired American workers and forced them to train their foreign replacements.

Pink Slips at Disney. But First, Training Foreign Replacements.

Lawyer For Displaced Disney Workers: 1,200 American Workers In N.Y. Are Training Their Foreign Replacements

Stories like this are not unusual.  In fact, they are common place.

Government policies and the welfare state have made the problem far worse.  Any nation that treats its domestic labor like America treats its workers is doomed.  The open border folks literally have no problem with opening American borders to all 7 billion on the planet regardless of the damages inflicted by the welfare state and corporate welfare queens.

There is no way that America can even proceed with a sane discussion on immigration so long as the welfare state exists and the biggest beneficiary of the welfare state is corporate America.  They spend a ton of money lobbying to import millions of slave wage entitlement dependent folks. This isn't capitalism or free markets, it's a form industrial feudalism where the serfs are barely given subsistence level wages and are so impoverished that they must go begging to their feudal masters for food and necessities.

40% Of US Workers Now Earn Less Than 1968 Minimum Wage

Way back when the Congressional Gang of 8 was attempting to pass an open border immigration bill, open border Libertarians were wild about it. With Libertarian leaning think tanks like CATO advocating for legalizing all illegals and opening our borders to everybody to create a borderless nation, none of them ever take into account the gargantuan cost of the welfare entitlement state and subsidizing corporate profits.

Much has been written about the economic effect of open borders and the welfare state.  With hoards of low wage entitlement dependent folks, we increase the labor pool of tax consumers vs. tax contributors.  In other words, low wage immigrants consume more in benefits than they contribute to the economy and tax base.  A nation that is economically built upon such a system is destined to fail. The taxation and debt required to support such a system will implode.  It's already imploding.

Until the entitlement state is demolished, re-engineered and/or massively downsized, there is no way to separate honest hardworking immigrants from the moochers who come here to mooch and many of them are caught up in the spiral of low wage jobs and poverty - folks just trying to survive in a global economy that has turned against them.

Between the non-working folks on welfare and the working poor on welfare, America has morphed into a hideous industrialized feudalistic society consisting of the rich and the serfs who serve them.

Want wages to rise? Abolish the entitlements and force businesses to compete for unsubsidized labor in a free labor market. Maybe then we could talk about immigration.

Still, it makes no sense to flood America with tens of millions of immigrants when our own people are profoundly suffering from an economy that had hit the skids and put many Americans on skid row.

My immigration plan is simple: deport the entitlement dependent and keep those who work and demand nothing except the right to work.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

The US Economy - The Mother of All Hot Button 2016 Election Issues and Why #Trump is Winning.




As an advocate for peace, liberty and prosperity, in that order because you can't have liberty without peace and you can't have prosperity without liberty, I'm shocked that so few American even care about such vitally important issues.  Sadly, the voting habits of the American people scream "I want more wars, more bankster power, more corruption, more military industrial complex, more prison industrial complex, more corporate welfare and more of the ongoing destruction of the 4th amendment and civil liberties".  But some folks seem to be waking up to various degrees and for the first time in a long time, Americans are scared enough to pay attention to some issues.

The economy sucks and largely because the US is an unfriendly place to do business; hence America is no longer a desirable place to park and utilize capital, the mothers milks of economic prosperity and free markets.  It doesn't matter if you are a small to medium business overrun with onerous regulations and taxes or a sole entrepreneur like Eric Garner who was choked to death by NYPD on a NY street while selling loose cigarettes (illegal in NYC). Every time a citizen does something to try and earn a living, the government goons are there to swoon down upon him like a bird of pray or to crucify work with taxes, regulations and even death.

CORPORATE TAX RATES

The US has one of the highest corporate income tax rates in the industrialized world. Therefore, jump starting the economy requires some politically unpopular decisions like  ELIMINATING THE CORPORATE INCOME TAX.  Besides, there really is no such thing as a corporate tax because it's just an indirect consumer tax - as a cost of doing business the corporate tax is built into the price of goods and service.  Therefore, eliminating the corporate tax will indeed result in lower costs of American made goods and services.  The corporate tax is punitive, anti-business and is responsible for the off shoring of US manufacturing and the loss of millions of good paying jobs.

If you want to 'Make America Great Again', you have to make America a business friendly place.  I understand that such a proposition is offensive to some, especially those pickpockets who can't keep their grubby thieving fingers out of the pockets of individuals and businesses.  Freeing America and entrepreneurship from strangulation and oppression is the easiest and best method to achieve a goal that will restore middle class prosperity and lift the poor out of poverty.

US CORPORATE TAXES SITTING IN FOREIGN BANKS

But abolishing the corporate tax isn't the only thing that can be done to Make America A Great Place To Do Business,  Our criminal congress has actually passed laws encouraging US business to offshore by offering corporations lower tax rates if they earn their profits on foreign soil.  The US workers be damed!  The net result of this criminal congressional enterprise is that some $2 trillion in corporate profits are sitting in foreign banks and cannot be repatriated back to the US without a crushing tax liability.  US corporate profits should be repatriated back to America TAX FREE because trillions in capital would go a long way toward building or rebuilding businesses in America.

Combine tax free repatriation of trillions in corporate profits with a zero corporate tax rate and the US economy will be free to grow, restore prosperity and lift the poor out of crushing poverty.

Right now we've got the Democrats screaming for higher corporate taxes (the equivalent of higher costs for consumers and the loss of more jobs) and the Republicans are screaming for more corporatism and crony capitalism.

I don't know if Trump even understands the economy or what needs to be done but he definitely has built his campaign on the economy and nothing sings louder and clearer better than his MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN campaign slogan. It's simply brilliant in its simplicity.

IMMIGRATION

Trump has raised the issue of immigration which is an important issue to many Americans because they know their wages aren't going up while the cheap labor lobby bribes congress critters to load America up with millions and millions of more cheap foreign laborers. Americans have seen their wages either plummet or go nowhere.  Even worse, many of those comprising the 'cheap foreign labor' pools are paid so little and are so poor that they qualify for welfare.  Entitlement dependent workers are a core attribute of globalization.  Corporations demand that TAXPAYERS pay the social costs of an employee and the welfare of the the poor working immigrants.

This is INSANE.  American workers are being fired and replaced with cheap entitlement dependent foreign workers but are sent the bill for their welfare.

I've heard many Libertarians literally scream for open borders and the free movement of labor but they could care less that their version of open borders is in fact statist, corporatist and actually encourages the growth of the welfare state and government power.

Solving the immigration problem starts with ending welfare for immigrants. I personally endorse deporting all welfare dependent immigrants.  We can't afford the welfare state for American citizens so extending it to encompass all imported foreign labor is fiscal and economic suicide.

America has always been a welcoming place for hardworking immigrants and that's something we should be proud of and continue but only so long as immigration benefits America, Americans and the immigrant. Neither Americans nor Trump are the evil zenophobes as portrayed by the corporatist paid political class and its lapdog media.

TRADE AGREEMENTS

Trade agreements like NAFTA, TPP and TTIP are nothing but the corporatist takeover of the world's economy. These agreements are anti-free trade and requires that nations who are signatories to them relinquish significant national sovereignty.

NAFTA was a nightmare that was shoved down our throats by Bill Clinton and his Republican co-conspirators but the TPP and TTIP are NAFTA on steroids.

The Kleptocracy of Cannibal Crony Capitalism. Bill Clinton and his Republican NAFTA Baby Co-Conspirators




NAFTA resulted in the loss of millions of high paying US manufacturing jobs.

The TPP has been ferociously criticized by America's right and left because it creates tribunals controlled by multinational corporations that will have dictatorial powers over all trade.  National sovereignty will be rendered illegal.

TPP Secret Trade Agreement Puts International Tribunal Above U.S. Law

If these corporatist anti-free trade boondoggles are solidified into law, the takeover of the planet by big government and big corporations will be complete.  There are no voter referendums, just the sellout of national legislatures whose elected members have been bribed by corporations to pass these rotten economy killing deals.

THE REGULATORY STATE

The Competitive Enterprise Institute does an annual assessment on the economic cost of America's draconian regulatory state.
Regulation: The Hidden Tax....Based on the best available federal governmentdata, past reports, and contemporary studies, this report highlights estimated regulatory compliance and economic costs of $1.88 trillion annually.....Per employee regulatory costs for firms of fewer than 50 workers can be 29 percent greater than those for larger firms.....Societal regulatory costs amount to up to 29 percent of the typical household’s expenditure budget.
Read the entire well documented economy killing report here.

If America fails to reign in the regulatory state and the power of federal agencies, our economy is doomed.  Therefore, deregulation must be a top priority.  American businesses and entrepreneurs can't do business with a regulatory noose around their necks.

WHY IS TRUMP WINNING? 

Trump isn't way ahead in the primaries because his ideas are so brilliant.  Besides, brilliant isn't something that Americans can grasp.  Americans know they are hurting, even if they can't fully comprehend why, and Trump understands this and is a master at capitalizing on the failures of the political class. Therein lies the genius of Trump.

Can Trump fix America, restore the prosperity of the middle class and raise the poor out of poverty? Well, the issue is so hugely complex that the simple answer is NO, nobody can, at least not singlehandedly.

What can Trump do?  Trump runs businesses, he build buildings and hires workers and has even had a popular TV reality show.  Generally, he's been very successful and has amassed a net worth in the billions from his entrepreneurial projects. The Trump name is so well known that it's legendary in America and globally.  But Trump's success with the voters isn't just his success; after all a lot of folks are successful and even more wealthy and successful than Trump.

Yes, Americans value the fact that Trump is successful but they yearn for a president that would aspire to teach America and Americans how to become successful and even great.

On some level, I do believe that Trump even cares, unlike the crass and cold political class of buffoons and liars.  For Trump it's not just about power - the dude is already powerful.  His immense ego propels him to succeed and that's an attribute that transcends the failing and fading lies of the Republican and Democrat parties.  A man like Trump can't handle failure and yes it's entirely possible that he will work very hard to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN.

Trump is winning because he's perceived by voters as sincere and Americans are so damn desperate and fed up with politics as usual that they will gamble on a man they want to trust and probably already do trust far more than the rest of the political heap.  The beauty of the whole Trump thing is that Trump is royally bitch slapping the establishment elites and that is definitely fun to watch.

To win, all Trump has to do is continue to do what he's doing and run a 100% economic campaign because that's all Americans really care about right now.  He needs to be addressing those issues that are harming the economy while offering solutions to big problems.  He needs to focus on restoring the battered US manufacturing industries and most importantly, he needs policies that will help everybody, especially businesses, the poor and the middle class.

Trump is a man who THINKS big so I consider him qualified to tackle big problems.  It's what he does. It's what American voters want him to do.

Disclosure:  I Stand With Rand and will vote for him in the primary.




Saturday, November 21, 2015

Dear Muslims: Why Nobody Wants You In Their Country




Disclosure:  I have nothing but contempt for all organized religions but Islam is especially vile, intolerant, violent and wretched.  I am not an atheist but I absolutely believe that if Jesus and the Prophet Mohammad suddenly visited planet earth today that they both would be appalled by the brutality and inhumanity of both religions.  Because of my knowledge of Islam, I oppose Muslim immigration into western nations because Islam is a symbol of oppression, violence and intolerance.

Furthermore, I 100% oppose US interventions in Muslim nations because as a defender of human and natural rights, I absolutely abhor violence, especially the violence of the US and its rabid neocon psychopaths.  The US is guilty of horrific crimes against the Muslim world.

I'm sure that Muslims are perplexed at the rising resistance to Muslim immigration into western nations.  I've studied Islam since 911 - its theology, its culture and its history, and there is nothing that even remotely suggests that Islam is a peaceful and tolerant theology and culture.

Anyway, I will let loose with a few my complaints against Islam and why Islam is so destructive and grotesquely out of touch with modern concepts of human and natural rights.

1. FGM.  Islam leads the world in female genital mutilation (FGM) or slicing off the clotoris.

Prevalence of female genital mutilation by country
Female genital mutilation (FGM) is practised in 30 countries in western, eastern, and north-eastern Africa,[5] in parts of the Middle East[6][7] and Asia,[8][9] and within some immigrant communities in Europe, North America and Australia.[5][10] The WHO defines the practice as "all procedures that involve partial or total removal of the external female genitalia, or other injury to the female genital organs for non-medical reasons." 
According to a 2013 UNICEF report covering 29 countries in Africa and the Middle East, Egypt has the region's highest total number with 27.2 million women having undergone FGM, while Somalia has the highest prevalence rate of FGM at 98%.
Sane and humane societies do not do indulge in such barbarism in the name of a deity, culture or religion. I don't want these folks anywhere near America.

2. Honor Killings.  Muslim women who are not virgins and even rape victims are frequently honor killed by their own families.  Honor killings are proliferating in the west as Muslim immigration increases. Only a savage people will brutally murder their females in the name of a deity and family honor.  Honor killings in Muslim nations is rarely even prosecuted.

The estimated 27 victims of so-called "honor killings" each year in the U.S. don't fit neatly into the FBI's exhaustive Uniform Crime Reporting Statistics.

Hidden among thousands of nondescript murders and cases labeled as domestic violence are a mounting number of killings motivated by a radical and dark interpretation of Islam. Honor killings and violence, which typically see men victimize wives and daughters because of behavior that has somehow insulted their faith, are among the most secretive crimes in society, say experts.

3.  The Muslim female dress code is a symbol of female oppression and male patriarchy and domination. In Saudi Arabia and other Muslim nations, women are forced to wear those hideous abayas and Muslim women in western nations wearing the abaya or burka is rapidly multiplying, indicating their devotion to Muslim theology and culture while shunning western models of female emancipation.





 4.  Arranged marriages. Muslim women and girls are considered the property of their husbands and fathers, and they are literally sold like cattle into arranged marriages. Many young Muslim women are literally forced into arranged marriages by their families. Few can escape their fates and are threatened with death.  Many are so severely abused that their only way out is suicide.
Her parents, who have subsequently died, also forced her other sisters to enter into arranged marriages, she said. "As a young person growing up in Britain, going to their houses, you'd see horrific stories of them being beaten and abused," she said. "Yet my mother's response was to tell them to stay there because it was their duty to make the marriage work for the sake of our honor."

Sanghera wept as she recalled the fate of one of her sisters, whom she said was beaten by her husband. "She went to my family, for help. But at the age of 24 she set herself on fire and committed suicide, here.

 5. Child Brides.  It is not unusual for young girls to not only be forced into marriages to older men but some even die from being so violently raped by their savage Muslim husbands.  Stories like this are indeed disturbing.

Yemeni child bride dies of internal bleeding
A 12-year-old Yemeni bride died of internal bleeding following intercourse three days after she was married off to an older man, the United Nations Children's Fund said.
The Huffington Post also documented several cases of child brides.

Yemen Child Brides

While stories like this make me cringe in horror, they are not unusual in the Muslim world.

6. Muslim Men Consider Non-Muslim Women Whores and Rape Them.  There is a rape crisis in Europe and European women are increasingly raped by Muslim men and even gang raped.  Because Muslim society is probably the most sexually dysfunctional society on the planet, these men will seek a sexual release and with a strong prohibition against non-marital sex with a Muslim women, they just rape non-Muslim women; besides Muslim men view infidel women as whores.

Sweden Opened Its Doors To Muslim Immigration, Today It’s The Rape Capital Of The West.
Sweden began opening its doors to Muslim immigrants in the 1970s. Today it pays a high price for having done so. The group suffering the severest consequences of such an open door policy has been Swedish women.

As Muslim men immigrated to Sweden, they brought with them an Islamic culture sanctioning rape.
REPORTING WHAT THE MEDIA WON’T: Massive Increase in Rape Spreading Through Europe – Muslim Immigrants Plan to Make Rape of Non-Muslim Women Legal When they Take Over the West





7. Murder and brutality toward gay folks. The plight of homosexuals and lesbians in Muslim nations is pretty horrific.

79 countries where homosexuality is illegal




The International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and Intersex Association, or ILGA, lists 75 countries with criminal laws against sexual activity by lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender or intersex people (LGBTIs), but that’s an understatement.

The death penalty can be imposed for same-sex intimacy in eight of them.
According to the Washington Post, there are 10 countries with the death penalty for homosexuality. They are: Yemen, Iran, Iraq, Mauritania, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan and United Arab Emirates. Read the Washington Post article here.

A gay man writes about how terrified he is of Muslim immigration. I'M A GAY MAN AND MASS MUSLIM IMMIGRATION TERRIFIES ME

8. Extreme intolerance against every imagined or perceived insult to Islam. .The Christian world has endured endless insults against its religion including taxpayers being forced to fund the Piss Christ and the Virgin Mary Covered in Elephant Dung.  Christians didn't go out murder anybody but Muslims go on a murderous rampage for every perceived insult to Islam.  In free nations, freedom of though and freedom of expression are highly valued rights even if they insult somebody.  Hurling insults is just a national pastime in free societies whether it's at politicians, religions or anything.

Muslim violence against those who insult Islam is deeply disturbing.

The Danish cartoonist who survived an axe attack

Soon after the attack on the Danish cartoonist by a Muslim, stories started surfacing about attacks on non-Muslims all over the world over a silly cartoon. There were indeed murders attributable to the cartoon incident.

Cartoon controversy spreads throughout Muslim world

Then there is the infamous Charlie Hebdo attack in January, 2015 that resulted in 11 folks being massacred by pissed off Muslims, here.

9. Food and Booze Muslims are religiously banned from consuming alcohol or pork.  However, western nations are booze swilling and pork choming nations.  Why would Muslims even want to be in nations where pork and booze liberally flow?  Well, Muslims have so intimidated westerners that they are demanding that pork be removed from public schools and other places because it OFFENDS Muslims.  This is not only bullshit but compliance with such insane demands constitutes and act of appeasement and capitulation to Muslims which only empowers them.  Muslim demands are exploding.

Muslim flight attendant sues after she’s suspended for refusing to serve alcohol

Booze, dogs too much for some Muslim cabbies
Last year, the airports commission received a fatwa, or religious edict, from the Minnesota chapter of the Muslim American Society saying "Islamic jurisprudence" prohibits taxi drivers from carrying passengers with alcohol, "because it involves cooperating in sin according to Islam."

In the Quran, Muslims are barred from consuming intoxicants — generally understood as alcohol, though the prohibition also extends to narcotics. Devout Muslims interpret the ban to include carrying, buying or selling alcohol. Additionally, dogs are considered unclean. 
Muslim Costco employee refuses to touch pork; sues after getting transferred to different department

The above are just a few incidents and hundreds more routinely occur because some damn Muslim is demanding NOT to be offended by what he/she perceives as an affront to their religion or they are filing lawsuits against companies who don't go along with their Islamization schemes.

10. Shariah Law  The thought of living under intolerant and barbaric Shariah law is too horrifying to contemplate.  Non-Muslims are treated like sub-humans, along with women; Shariah Law is theological totalitarian tyranny for Muslims and non-Muslims.   It's like America's fundamentalist Christians who would welcome Old Testament Law but thankfully, they are a pitiful minority.  Yet, polls in Europe and America disclose that a frightening percentage of Muslims would impose Sharia Law if they had the votes to impose it.

Poll reveals 40pc of Muslims want sharia law in UK

4 out of 10 Danish Muslims want Quran-Based law 

POLL: MOST U.S. MUSLIMS WOULD TRADE CONSTITUTION FOR SHARIAH - 'Quran should be highest authority in America, and Islam the only accepted religion'
51 percent of U.S. Muslims prefer Shariah

There are now an estimated 3 million Muslims residing in the United States as citizens or with permanent legal status, and more than 250,000 new Muslim residents enter the U.S. per year as refugees, on work visas and student-based visas, according to the Center for Immigration Studies.

A poll commissioned in May 2015 by the Center for Security Policy showed that 51 percent of American Muslims preferred that they should have their own Shariah courts outside of the legal system ruled by the U.S. Constitution. And nearly a quarter believed the use of violent jihad was justified in establishing Shariah.
11. Terrorism Murderous acts of terrorism committed against non-Muslim is epidemic.  Let's review the extremely abbreviated SHORT list.  100% of these attacks have been attributed to Sunni Sanafist Wahhabist, a vile and violent sect of Islam that was spawned in Saudi Arabia and is rapidly and globally proliferating with money from Sunni gulf monarchies (and even the US).  Sunni Salafist Wahhabists consider the Kurds and Shiites infidels, as well as Christians, Jews, Hindus and all other folks who do not subscribe to the radically intolerant views of the Wahhabists.

The largest death tolls from Sunni Salafist Wahhabist terrors arise from attacks on Kurds and Shiites but the western media ignores the bloody carnage.  In Nigeria, an oil rich nation that is roughly 50% Christian and 50% Muslim, Sunni attacks on non-Muslims, mostly by Boko Haram that operates in several African nations and is funded by wealthy Sunni Salafists.

Very recent Islamic terror attacks.

November 21, 2015 – Suicide bombers affiliated with Boko Haram kill at least 10 in northern Cameroon.

November 20, 2015 – Bamako hotel attack. Gunmen yelling "Allahu Akbar" storm a hotel in Bamako, Mali. At least 27 killed, and more than 80 were taken hostage.

Although Mali is 98% Muslim and Sunni, Mali Muslims follow a benign form of Islam and are non-violent and have never participated in jihadism or terrorism.  Apparently, Mali has been infiltrated by Sunni Salafist Wahhabists.
An estimated 90 percent of Malians are Muslim, mostly Sunni belonging to Maliki school of jurisprudence influenced with Sufism. Religion of Mali, here
Sufism is a deeply spiritual form of Islam with no history of violent.

November 17, 2015 – A suicide attack at a market in Yola killed more than 30 people and hospitalised more than 80. The attack is thought to be the work of Boko Haram.

November 13-14, 2015 – Simultaneous terrorist attacks in Paris kill 136, and wound 352.

November 12, 2015 – Twin suicide bombings kill 42 people in the capital city of Beirut.

October 31, 2015 – Bomb on board a Russian jet brings it down in Sinai, bound for St Petersburg, killing 224 people.

October 22, 2015 – 20 people were killed in the northeast state of Borno, Nigeria in a Boko Haram attack.

October 10, 2015 – Multiple suicide bombings in Chad killed 33 people and injured 51. The attack is believed to be the work of Boko Haram.[

October 3, 2015 – In Baghdad, two suicide bombings in Shiite majority neighbourhoods kill at least 18 people and injure 61. Attack claimed by ISIL.

October 1, 2015 – Multiple suicide bombings by Boko Haram in North-East Nigeria killed 14 people (including the bombers) and injured 39.

September 24, 2015 – A bomb attack on a Shia mosque in Sana'a killed 25 and injured dozens more during prayers for the Muslim holiday of Eid al-Adha. Claimed by ISIL.

September 17, 2015 – Two suicide bombings in Baghdad killed 10 and injured 55. ISIL claims responsibility.

August 13, 2015 – 2015 Baghdad market truck bombing A truck bomb in a Baghdad market killed more than 70 and injures 200.

The above list goes on and on but from here on I will just list major Sunni Salafist attacks on non-Muslims.

November 5, 2009 – Fort Hood shooting, at Fort Hood near Killeen, Texas. 13 dead, 33 injured
June 1, 2009 – 2009 Little Rock recruiting office shooting by Abdulhakim Muhajid Muhammad. 1 killed and 1 injured

November 26, 2008 – Muslim extremists kill at least 166 people and wound numerous others in a series of coordinated attacks on India's financial capital, Mumbai.
July 11, 2006 – 2006 Mumbai train bombings: Seven bomb blasts over a period of 11 minutes on the Suburban Railway in Mumbai. 209 killed and over 700 injured.
July 7, 2005 – Multiple bombings in London Underground. 53 killed by four suicide bombers. Nearly 700 injured.
September 1, 2004 – Beslan school hostage crisis, approximately 344 civilians including 186 children killed.
March 11, 2004 – Madrid train bombings, killed 191 people and wounded 1,800.
August 25, 2003 – Twin car bombings killed 54, and injured 244 people in Mumbai.
October 23, 2002 – The Moscow theater hostage crisis was the seizure of the crowded Dubrovka Theater by Islamists. 170+ dead (including 40 perpetrators) 700+ injured.
October 12, 2002 – 2002 Bali bombings in the tourist district of Kuta on the Indonesian island of Bali, killing 202 people and injuring 240.

September 11, 2001 – 4 planes hijacked by 19 al-Qaeda members: two planes crashed into the World Trade Center in New York City, New York; one into The Pentagon in Arlington County, Virginia; and one into a field near Shanksville, Pennsylvania. 2,977 victims killed.

December 24, 2000 – Christmas Eve 2000 Indonesia bombings of churches in eight cities, 18 killed. October 12, 2000 – Attack on USS Cole in the Yemeni port of Aden. 17 American sailors were killed, 39 injured.
August 7, 1998 – 1998 United States embassy bombings in Tanzania and Kenya. 224 dead, 4000+ injured.
November 17, 1997 – Luxor massacre, 6 armed Islamic terrorists attacked tourists at the Luxor ruins. 62 killed, 26 injured.

June 25, 1996 – Khobar Towers bombing, 20 killed, 372 wounded.

The Sunni Salafist Wabbabist attacks in Syria have led to a bloody civil war with death tolls topping 200,000.  The victims have been Kurds, Shiites, Alewites, Christians, Yazidi and other non Sunni Salafist Wahhabist sects.

Source of above terror attacks here.

Conclusions: It's impossible for any sane person to conclude that Islam is a peaceful religion and that Muslims are nice folks.  Yeah, some Muslims may be decent folks but if decent Muslims fail to rise up and fight the murderous jihadists and the scourge of Sunni Salafist Wahhabism, they really aren't much different.

The real tragedy is that wherever Islam lands, bad things happen and human rights are non-existent.

To be continued.......











Monday, November 16, 2015

2016 GOP Primary Schedule and My 2 Cents




I Stand With Rand and will vote for him in the primary. That's said, he doesn't stand a chance of winning the nomination. Like his awesome father, Rand will not win the theocon-neocon vote and he doesn't appeal to statist Rockefeller Republicans.  The liberty wing of the Republican Party remains weak, very weak.

I believe that Iowa is pretty much irrelevant. Huckabee won Iowa in 2008 and Sanitorium won it in 2012. Cruz will probably win Iowa in 2016 because of the strong religious right advantage, followed by Trump (it could be close). I also predict that Rand will have a respectable finish in IA - Ron got 21% in 2012.

After Iowa it's on the NH where Trump is polling strong.  New Hampshire is not a religious right friendly state so the advantage goes to Trump.  RCP averages (here) have Trump polling at 24.3 in NH followed by Carson (13%), Rubio (11.3), Cruz (9.0), Kasich (8.7), Bush (7.3), Christie (7.0), Fiorina (5.0), Paul (3.7).

Trump should clean up in New Hampshire and then it's on to Bible Belt South Carolina for the real Trumpster test because the real primary starts in SC. If Trump can win hardcore Bible belt SC and clean up on Super Tuesday in Bible Belt states like Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Texas he will most probably be the nominee because a primary is a momentum game. Many believe that the nomination process is more or less over on Super Tuesday.

The Republican primary schedule:

2/1
Iowa

2/9
New Hampshire

2/20
South Carolina

2/23
Nevada

Super Tuesday 3/1

Alabama
Alaska (GOP)
Arkansas
Colorado caucuses
Georgia
Massachusetts
Minnesota caucuses
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Texas
Vermont
Virginia

3/5
Kansas caucus
Kentucky (GOP caucus)
Louisiana

3/8
Hawaii caucus (GOP)
Idaho (GOP)
Mississippi
Michigan

3/13
Puerto Rico

3/15
Florida
Illinois
Missouri
North Carolina
Ohio

3/22
Arizona
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Utah

4/5
Wisconsin

4/19
New York

4/26
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island

5/3
Indiana

5/10
Nebraska
West Virginia

5/17
Oregon

6/7
California
Montana
New Jersey
New Mexico
South Dakota

6/14
District of Columbia

States with no firm dates: North Dakota, Maine, Wyoming

Source: US Presidential Election News

Spoiler Alert: The online gambling sites have been dead on accurate in the past and Pivit is considered one of the best.  Right now the gamblers are predicting that Rubio will be the Republican nominee:

Rubio: 44% probability of winning
Trump 17%
Cruz 15%
Bush 9%
Carson 5%

The online gambling results are very fluid and subject to rapid change.  A Rubio primary victory would constitute yet another HUGE victory for the establishment, neocons, defense contractors, NSA, open border advocates, TPP supporters, banksters, crony capitalists and just about everything that has ruined America, destroyed the middle class and made America a debt ridden, bankrupt empire.

Are Republican voters stupid enough to nominate Rubio?  Yeah.  They nominated 2 Bushes, McCain and Mittens.

What will happen?  I really don't know but right now it's looking like Trump has the advantage in the polls and Rubio has the advantage with the gamblers.



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